THE WELCH COMPANY
440 Davis Court #1602
San Francisco, CA 94111-2496
415 781 5700


S U M M A R Y


DIARY: November 1, 1999 12:31 PM Monday; Rod Welch

Called Ronald on agreement for new assignment with ARC.

1...Summary/Objective
2...Mobilize PM
3...Scope of Work Project Manager - Risk and Opportunities
4...Change from Owner Directed to Project Management is Difficult
5...City College Situation Needs Project Management
6...One Year Agreement with Quarterly Check Points
7...Payment Once a Month
8...Consultant Agreement for Welch Co, Rod Welch Project Manager
9...Welch Provides Leadership and Training at ARC Office
10...ARC Offers Transportation; Goal to Minimize Travel Time and Expense
11...Automation Plan - $5K to $10K
12...Communication Metrics on the Internet Shows Self-Evident Benefits
13...Office Ergonomics Support Efficient use of Com Metrics
14...Payment for SDS and Mobilization Supports ARC's Goals
15...Payment to Commence According to Value Added for the Project
16...Project Management of $80K+ for $12M+ Volume is Good Investment


..............
Click here to comment!

CONTACTS 
0201 - A. R. Construction Company           415 656 2800
020101 - Mr. Ronald Arana; President =415 656 2806
020102 - aramet@aol.com

SUBJECTS
Inquiries

0403 -    ..
0404 - Summary/Objective
0405 -
040501 - Follow up ref SDS 22 0000, ref SDS 19 0000.
040502 -
040503 - Left message with Jacki.  Ronald is at a meeting.
040504 -
040505 - Submitted ref DIP 5 0001 linked to this record to confirm
040506 - understandings.
040507 -
040508 -
040509 -
0406 -
0407 -
0408 - 1602 Ronald called back
0409 -
040901 - The meeting with the City was today, postponed from last Monday.
040902 -
040903 - He still wants to consider me and feels are in agreement on $89K, but
040904 - are apart on distribution.
040905 -
040906 - I explained compromise on a number of points.
040907 -
040908 - Ronald did not recall that.  He will read the letter for our meeting
040909 - on 991021 again.
040910 - ..
040911 - I asked him to return the Com Metrics report by USACE.
040912 -
040913 - Ronald said his lawyer, Bill Last, is familiar with my work, and wants
040914 - to have a meeting with me and Ronald.
040915 -
040916 - I will call Ronald about Thursday to see about meeting again.
040917 -
040918 -
040919 -
040920 -
040921 -
040922 -
040923 -
0410 -
0411 -
0412 - Discussion
0413 -
041301 -  ..
041302 - Mobilize PM
041303 -
041304 - Follow up ref SDS 22 0228.
041305 -
041306 - The steps needed to accomplish Ronald's objectives include...
041307 -
041308 -   1.  Agreement finalize
041309 -
041310 -   2.  Configure office at ARC
041311 -
041312 -       Procure CPU
041313 -       Configure CPU
041314 -       Install CPU
041315 -       Install furnishings
041316 -       Install telephone
041317 -
041318 -   3.  Inspect vehicle
041319 -
041320 -       Procure any repairs required
041321 -       Parking???
041322 -
041323 -   4.  Meeting ARC office staff
041324 -
041325 -       Introductions
041326 -       Procedures
041327 -
041328 -           Ronald explain president's vision of goals and time tables
041329 -
041330 -           Rod's time in the office will evolve as we ramp up to full
041331 -           support and implementation.
041332 -
041333 -       Communication Metrics
041334 -
041335 -           Ronald explain goals, set training and support objectives
041336 -           Rod explain general concepts
041337 -
041338 -   5.  Golden Gate Park Reservoir project
041339 -
041340 -       Preliminary review plans and specs
041341 -       Review contracts
041342 -       Meeting ARC team, estimators, Ronald, Superintendent
041343 -       Review plans and specs
041344 -
041345 -
041346 -  ..
041347 - Scope of Work Project Manager - Risk and Opportunities
041348 -
041349 - Follow up ref SDS 22 3855.
041350 -
041351 - We reviewed the level of effort for ARC project management...
041352 -
041353 - ARC has following projects...
041354 -
041355 -   1.  Golden Gate Park starting                       $7M
041356 -
041357 -   2.  City College nearing completion, superintendent quit, see
041358 -       separate analysis. ref SDS 22 3431
041359 -
041360 -                                                       $3M
041361 -
041362 -   3.  Port of Oakland, 3rd bidder, but pursuing entitlement to be
041363 -       named lowest responsible bidder.
041364 -                                                       $8M
041365 -
041366 -         Ronald may have indicated receiving a letter that the Port is
041367 -         negotiating with the bidder who was too low.
041368 -
041369 -         ARC would have a strong case to make that this violates
041370 -         competitive bidding statutes and procedures, which harms the
041371 -         Port and all contractors.
041372 -
041373 -   4.  Oakland Navy project, ARC low bidder, concerned too low
041374 -
041375 -                                                       $2M
041376 -
041377 -   5.  City of San Francisco Garage, low bidder, being challenged by
041378 -       another contractor who is non-union
041379 -
041380 -                                                       $8M
041381 -   6.  Pat's project being completed.
041382 -                                                       $4M
041383 -
041384 -   7.  Claims.........                         $500K - $2M
041385 -
041386 - Potential value at risk............................  $35M
041387 -
041388 -
041389 - This is a complex situation that requires effective management to
041390 - realize budgeted earnings, and avoid loss.
041391 -
041392 - Ronald noted today that he is willing to take a risk that Rod Welch
041393 - can provide professional project management.
041394 -
041395 - Driving back to the Welch office for our meeting, it was discovered
041396 - that important documents were forgotten at the ARC office, which
041397 - Ronald needed.  On 970910 a presentation by the Project Management
041398 - Institute (PMI) reported that every executive faces the growing
041399 - complexity of information overload, ref SDS 5 3479, reviewed recently
041400 - on 990924 as the main cause of mistakes, loss and conflict in all
041401 - human enterprise. ref DIP 2 0001
041402 -
041403 - Communication Metrics helps meet this challenge by using technology to
041404 - make leadership effective, as reported by the U.S. Army Corps of
041405 - Engineers. ref DRP 1 6172
041406 -
041407 - In order for this to be effective, however, another consideration must
041408 - be faced.
041409 -
041410 - Ronald's success has produced a well deserved life-style, as with all
041411 - successful businessmen, of taking direct action when opportunity or
041412 - problems appear.  Andy Grove, CEO of Intel, calls this the "inertia of
041413 - success," reviewed on 980307. ref SDS 7 3740
041414 -
041415 - Consideration of Communication Metrics shows willingness to avoid the
041416 - "inertia of success" by recognizing new challenges that must be met in
041417 - order to reach the next level of growth, also cited by Grove.
041418 - ref SDS 8 1660
041419 -
041420 -
041421 -
041422 -  ..
041423 - Change from Owner Directed to Project Management is Difficult
041424 -
041425 - Follow up ref SDS 22 0458.
041426 -
041427 - A very big challenge will be arranging communications with ARC staff,
041428 - subs and customers so that Project Management is effective.  In a
041429 - small business, everyone feels the presence of the owner, and the
041430 - owner's risk and authority encourage taking immediate and direct
041431 - action, rather than acting through the Project Manager.  On a human
041432 - scale, it is very difficult for a man of action, to draw back and
041433 - allow others to take actions that may seem at the moment to be
041434 - incorrect or at least less than optimal. as set out in the record of
041435 - the meeting on 991019. ref SDS 19 2590
041436 -
041437 - Ronald cited his practice of "controlling the controllers," referring
041438 - to his support for onsite superintendents, who provide construction
041439 - administration, and represent ARC with owners, design professionals,
041440 - and subs.  He advised that ARC maintains a staff of 3 full time field
041441 - laborers/mechanics.  This reflects the focus on subcontracting.
041442 -
041443 - There was discussion of plans to hire an experienced office
041444 - administration person when Jacki takes maternity leave in February,
041445 - showing continued commitment to improving management.
041446 -
041447 - Ronald explained his goal to brain-storm with the Project Manager and
041448 - other key people to create a powerful "business machine," and to avoid
041449 - back-door channels that undermine communication.
041450 -
041451 - He reiterated the practice of letting people "fly" on their own,
041452 - including the Project Manager.
041453 -
041454 - We recognize this is the correct posture, but only time will tell if
041455 - the chemistry is effective.
041456 -
041457 -
041458 -  ..
041459 - City College Situation Needs Project Management
041460 -
041461 - Follow up ref SDS 22 3431, ref SDS 19 0660.
041462 -
041463 - Ronald advised that during the 6 hour meeting yesterday to review
041464 - project status and formulate plans as a result of ARC's superintendent
041465 - suddenly quitting, the architect disclosed that his firm had, also,
041466 - had a key employee suddenly quit. The Dean of the college advised of
041467 - similar past problems. ref SDS 21 2205
041468 -
041469 - Ronald remarked that everyone seems to be pulling together to address
041470 - a crisis.
041471 -
041472 - The risk and allure of Crisis Management is reviewed in the review on
041473 - the "High Cost of Medical Mistakes." ref DIP 2 2904 developed on
041474 - 990924. ref SDS 14 2066
041475 -
041476 - Evidently ARC's superintendent who quit had not been performing normal
041477 - duties the past several weeks, and has left a backlog of tasks to
041478 - catch up.  The range of issues and seriousness will unfold in the
041479 - period ahead.  Sometimes people quit suddenly when past unauthorized
041480 - and high-risk initiatives eventually result in emanate exposure of
041481 - failure or loss, and they are not equipped emotionally to face
041482 - colleagues and superiors.  Ronald did not discuss having discovered at
041483 - the meeting yesterday any major problems.  He indicated the person who
041484 - quit may have gotten a better offer from another firm.  Ordinarily
041485 - getting a better offer would not cause a professional person to quit
041486 - without notice.
041487 -
041488 - Ronald seemed to indicate this may extend completion by a month or
041489 - so.  He now expects to complete the project in 3 months.
041490 -
041491 - Ronald feels he could complete the City College job.  Currently he
041492 - has assigned Pat to help, and his estimating crew are also filling in
041493 - while Ronald adjusts to these new circumstances.
041494 -
041495 - He has decided to take the $2M job in Oakland on which he was low
041496 - bidder Tuesday. ref SDS 19 7138  He can hire a superintendent for that
041497 - job, who can be used to finish the City College project.
041498 -
041499 - These conditions reflect elevated risk to ARC.
041500 -
041501 - Com Metrics is a risk management process which Ronald cited in our
041502 - meeting on 991015. ref SDS 17 5175
041503 -
041504 -
041505 -  ..
041506 - One Year Agreement with Quarterly Check Points
041507 -
041508 - Follow up ref SDS 22 4216, ref SDS 19 8933.
041509 -
041510 - We confirmed terms Ronald proposed on Tuesday for me to work with ARC
041511 - for a year, and provide check points every 3 months to mutually
041512 - evaluate progress.
041513 -
041514 -
041515 -  ..
041516 - Payment Once a Month
041517 - Consultant Agreement for Welch Co, Rod Welch Project Manager
041518 -
041519 - Follow up ref SDS 22 4217, ref SDS 19 4966.
041520 -
041521 - We confirmed ACR will contract with Welch Company, and will issue
041522 - payment once a month for project management services.
041523 -
041524 - ARC will present Rod Welch as the "Project Manager."
041525 -
041526 -
041527 -
041528 -  ..
041529 - Welch Provides Leadership and Training at ARC Office
041530 - ARC Offers Transportation; Goal to Minimize Travel Time and Expense
041531 -
041532 - Follow up ref SDS 22 0690, ref SDS 19 0799.
041533 -
041534 - We confirmed ACR will provide a vehicle suitable to support
041535 - professional project management.
041536 -
041537 - Welch will provide leadership and training at ARC's office in using
041538 - Communication Metrics and professional project management, as
041539 - discussed on 991019.
041540 -
041541 - Ronald plans to support transition to Communication Metrics by using
041542 - Pat to help develop initial contract management for the Golden Gate
041543 - Park Reservoir project.
041544 -
041545 -
041546 -  ..
041547 - Automation Plan - $5K to $10K
041548 - Communication Metrics on the Internet Shows Self-Evident Benefits
041549 - Office Ergonomics Support Efficient use of Com Metrics
041550 -
041551 - Follow up ref SDS 22 4819, ref SDS 19 3038.
041552 -
041553 - We confirmed ACR will provide adequate office facilities, including
041554 - computers and Internet access to support professional project
041555 - management, as discussed on 991019. ref SDS 19 3038
041556 -
041557 - Ronald feels comfortable that the City will be willing to provide
041558 - computer files needed for Communication Metrics, per analysis in
041559 - connection with the letter from Pat on 991019. ref SDS 20 0875  He
041560 - advised that project plans and specs are provided to contractors on a
041561 - computer disk, and the contractor prints the number of copies needed.
041562 -
041563 - This is a good solution and indicates that prior the problems working
041564 - with the Corps of Engineers may be solved on this project.
041565 -
041566 - The next big challenge will be converting ARC and City standard
041567 - construction management forms into HTML for display on web browsers,
041568 - so we can embed links that provide the control and "intelligence" that
041569 - Ronald wants.
041570 - ..
041571 - Ronald mentioned today that working with Communication Metrics
041572 - online is an eye-opening experience.  This aligns with planning on
041573 - 971021 in creating the system. ref SDS 6 9999  It reflects favorable
041574 - assessment from Dave Vannier at Intel on 990907. ref SDS 12 0149
041575 -
041576 - Ronald said that his son has already mastered the Welch system of
041577 - "clicking" online to get background, authority and alignment with
041578 - requirements and objectives.  Ronald feels it is much easier to
041579 - "click, click, click" than to hunt for documents and information in
041580 - mountains of paper, and to search endless email lists for information.
041581 -
041582 - In order for this method of "click, click, click" to support daily
041583 - management, we need to create standard construction forms in HTML for
041584 - display on web browsers, e.g., transmittals, submittals, RFIs, etc.
041585 - ..
041586 - HTML conversion may cost $4K or so.
041587 -
041588 -    It might be possible that the City would isse a change order to
041589 -    defray this cost, if we can present the cost and time advantages.
041590 -    This would be reviewed in visiting with the City's Project Manager,
041591 -    propsosed on 991015. ref SDS 17 3630  In fact, the City may
041592 -    already be working on this project.
041593 -
041594 - Ronald says ARC has a scanner, but he is not familiar with
041595 - performance.  Accordingly, this may be another item of cost, since
041596 - without doubt some scanning will be necessary.
041597 -
041598 - The cost of 2 computers will run about $3K.  We discussed that we may
041599 - only need one new one, but I am going to lobby hard for the second
041600 - one.
041601 -
041602 - Accordingly, a ballpark budget is $5 - $10K.
041603 -
041604 - The cost of DSL access for a year at the ARC office and on the GGP
041605 - project, will run about $3K, which is an extension of telephone
041606 - service.
041607 -
041608 - DSL is important, because it will give ARC access to the Interent at
041609 - the 3rd Street office, which is not now available.
041610 -
041611 - Ronald explained he is getting Welch correspondence now on his son's
041612 - computer at home, because of problems reported on 991014. ref SDS 16
041613 - 2673
041614 -
041615 -
041616 -
041617 -  ..
041618 - Payment for SDS and Mobilization Supports ARC's Goals
041619 -
041620 - Follow up ref SDS 22 0924, ref SDS 19 3270.
041621 -
041622 - To protect ARC's interests, we considered paying for the SDS program
041623 - on the basis of half at the start of the project, due on 991026 in the
041624 - amount of $2,500, and the other half, due in three months at the end of
041625 - the first check point, in the amount of $2,500.  If ARC decides not to
041626 - proceed, then it will not owe the second payment of $2,500.  ARC can
041627 - further deduct $2,500 from the monies owed for the last month of
041628 - service, if ARC elects to stop using SDS.  In other words the 3 months
041629 - is a trial period.  However, if ARC elects to continue using SDS, then
041630 - it will owe the $2,500 plus payment for the last month of service.  In
041631 - that case, Welch will support ARC with program updates and support for
041632 - a period of a year at no additional cost to ARC.
041633 -
041634 -
041635 -  ..
041636 - Payment to Commence According to Value Added for the Project
041637 -
041638 - Follow up ref SDS 22 5320, ref SDS 19 3504.
041639 -
041640 - There was no specific discussion today on this subject, however, I am
041641 - not meeting with the City Engineer, as planned on 991015, per Ronald's
041642 - instructions yesterday. ref SDS 21 3224
041643 -
041644 - This reduces the level of effort during the current period.  Therefore
041645 - I am willing to accept payment for one week of time instead of two, as
041646 - set out in the letter on 991015. ref DIP 4 3621
041647 -
041648 - Ronald seemed to indicate today that part of the reason for not
041649 - wanting me to meet with the City Engineer is to avoid having the City
041650 - discover the potential for using Communication Metrics in dealing with
041651 - the contractor.
041652 -
041653 -
041654 -  ..
041655 - Project Management of $80K+ for $12M+ Volume is Good Investment
041656 -
041657 - Follow up ref SDS 22 9766, ref SDS 19 3740.
041658 -
041659 - We reviewed monthly payment ideas discussed on Tuesday.
041660 -
041661 - I offered to accept payment in the amount of $6K per month, as Ronald
041662 - proposed, for the first three months, so that ARC can assess
041663 - performance of Welch and Communication Metrics.  If ARC decides to
041664 - continue with Welch, then it will owe $3K for the balance earned
041665 - during the first three months, and payment for the following 3
041666 - quarters will be at the rate of $7K per month.  If ARC decides not to
041667 - continue, ARC will not owe the $3K balance for the first three months.
041668 - The fourth transition month can be paid at $6K rate.
041669 -
041670 - This allows ARC to assess Welch and Communication Metrics at a rate
041671 - ARC believes is fair.  It provides a window of opportunity to discover
041672 - whether increased payment to the $7K per month rate is justified by
041673 - increased earnings.
041674 -
041675 - It will pay for...
041676 -
041677 -     •  launching ARC's new projects
041678 -     •  expert claims support.
041679 -     •  professional project management expertise.
041680 -
041681 - Lessor payment will not provide the quality of management needed to
041682 - meet the risks and opportunities ARC faces, as reviewed above.
041683 - ref SDS 22 3855
041684 -
041685 - Ronald feels the Welch proposal is not fair.  He does not have a good
041686 - feeling about these ideas.
041687 -
041688 - Ronald seemed to indicate that he feels Welch and Communication
041689 - Metrics are worth the $90K or so contemplated in this package for 12
041690 - months.  This aligns with self-evident benefits he cited above.
041691 - ref SDS 22 4968
041692 -
041693 - There was concern expressed about "big risks" ARC faces in accepting
041694 - the Welch method of payment.
041695 - ..
041696 - Ronald offered to pay at the rate of $6K per month, rather than
041697 - $7K per month for a period of one year, plus an incentive bonus that
041698 - would work as follows...  At the end of the year, he would assess on a
041699 - scale of 1 - 10 ARC's satisfaction with Welch and Communication
041700 - Metrics.  If, for example, satisfaction is found to be "6" then ARC
041701 - would pay Welch 60% of the difference between the $6K rate and the $7K
041702 - rate plus the $5K cost for SDS and mobilization.
041703 -
041704 - This is an imaginative solution that seems to present a wide range of
041705 - eventual interpretations.
041706 -
041707 - Ronald will let me know if ARC wants to proceed.
041708 -
041709 -
041710 -
041711 -
Distribution. . . . See "CONTACTS"