THE WELCH COMPANY
440 Davis Court #1602
San Francisco, CA 94111-2496
415 781 5700
rodwelch@pacbell.net
S U M M A R Y
DIARY: September 10, 1997 05:00 PM Wednesday;
Rod Welch
Attend PMI dinner meeting; report for Newsletter.
1...Summary/Objective
2...Cost Benefit Project Manager, Level of Effort, CEO, CFO, Etc.
3...Scitor Unviels Powerful New PM Tools
4...Jill Harrington Opens PMI Season; Theme: Vision to Results
.......Don Berri, Ex-President PMI NCC, Eulogized
.......Judy Painter Praised for Leadership during 1996, 1997
.......Executive Committee Introduced
5...Strategic Plan Advances Chapter Goals, Membership Needs
.....Tactical Plan
.....Volunteers Outstanding Response; Lot's to Do This Year
6...News Group Launched on World Wide Web
7...Roger Bush conducts "Town Hall" Meeting, shows...
8...Winning People Over is a Two-way Process: "Communication"
9...Trust Grows from Accuracy, Showing Willingness to Listen
10...Accuracy Requires Feedback Metrics and Alignment
.......Executive Has No Time to Think
.......No time to Say Hello, Good-by, I'm late, I'm late...
..............
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CONTACTS
0201 - PG&E Grid Customer Services O-00000642 0201
020101 - Mr. Bill DeHart, PMP
020102 - Project Manager
0202 - PMI - N. Calif Chapter O-00000259 0305
020201 - Ms. Jill Harrington PMP; President
SUBJECTS
Cost/Benefit of Better Communications
Cost Benefit - Increase Usefulness, Reduce
Level of Effort, Calculate Cost Benefit
Overhead Managers are Unproductive
Risk Management, Contingency Analysis, Value at Risk
Entropy in Communications
Calculate Risk Management Exposure NPV
Cost/Benefit Project Manager, Level of
Measuring Communication Issues
Dan Ono
1412 -
1412 - ..
1413 - Summary/Objective
1414 -
141401 - Follow up ref SDS 43 0000, ref SDS 39 0000.
141402 -
141403 - Inquired about a calculation of cost/benefit for project managers and
141404 - learned that Dan Ono indicated he is working on it, but no work
141405 - product has been submitted.
141407 - ..
141408 - Roger Bush reported an executive said she does not have time to think,
141409 - so they are hiring Saxon-Hamilton to help. Rober does not conclude
141410 - this indicates a work environment where extra help is needed for
141411 - "thinking." ref SDS 0 3479
141412 -
141413 - [On 970915 sending articles on this event for publication in the
141414 - PMI NCC Newsletter, ref SDS 55 EW4J
141415 -
141416 -
141418 - ..
1415 -
1416 -
1417 - Progress
1418 - ..
1419 -
141901 - Cost Benefit Project Manager, Level of Effort, CEO, CFO, Etc.
141902 -
141903 - Prior to the start of the Forum program, I visited with the VP of
141904 - Membership, Bob Holm, who had a table set up with PMI publications and
141905 - membership materials. I asked if PMI has information on calculating
141906 - the cost/benefit of a Project Manager or similar level of effort
141907 - positions?
141909 - ..
141910 - Bob said he is unaware of PMI publications on this, but he understands
141911 - that Dan Ono is working on this.
141913 - ..
141914 - I asked when Dan is scheduled to submit work product for review?
141915 - ..
141916 - Bob did not know. He suggested I ask Judy Painter, past
141917 - president of PMI, since he recalled hearing about Dan's project from
141918 - Judy.
141920 - ..
141921 - Judy had just arrived, and was talking with someone. I waited until
141922 - it was convenient to say hello and then asked her the same question.
141924 - ..
141925 - Judy said he had heard that Dan Ono is making this calculation, but he
141926 - has not submitted anything. Judy indicated that Dan has not submitted
141927 - a status report on his progress nor requested support for this effort.
141929 - ..
141930 - I asked Jill Harrington the same question. She is unaware of when
141931 - Dan expects to submit a report.
141932 -
141933 -
141934 -
1420 -
SUBJECTS
Monthly Meetings
Newsletter
Executive Committee
Strategic Planning
1806 -
180701 - ..
180702 - Scitor Unviels Powerful New PM Tools
180703 -
180704 - I visited Todd prior to the start of the Forum. He explained some
180705 - advantages of his CPM program called Scitor. They seem to have
180706 - several products:
180707 -
180708 - Project Scheduler 7
180709 -
180710 - This seems to be CPM program
180712 - ..
180713 - Process Charter for Windows
180714 -
180715 - This is a flow charter for business process analysis,
180716 - including information and communication mapping. It
180717 - supports reengineering and TQM to meet ISO 9000
180718 - requirements. Provides advanced formatting of figures,
180719 - lines and text.
180720 - ..
180721 - It seems similar to CPM by applying time and
180722 - resource factors.
180724 - ..
180725 - Product liturature says this programs gives flowcharts
180726 - "intelligence" to support "What if" analysis for process
180727 - benchmarking.
180729 - ..
180730 - It does not seem to support organization charts like
180731 - Visio.
180733 - ..
180734 - Todd Carothers
180735 - North American Sales Manager
180736 - Business Solutions Group
180737 - 333 Middlefield Road
180738 - Menlo Park, CA 94025
180739 - 415 462 4236 fax 415 462 4201
180740 - ..
180741 - AOL: ToddCar Compuserve: 76163:455 Email:
180742 - tcarothers@scitor.com http://www.scitor.com
180744 - ..
180745 - Todd demonstrated an advantage of Scitor's Project 7 that let's the
180746 - user create multiple fields for free form text to explain distinctions
180747 - between activities and levels in the schedule. This is a weakness in
180748 - Microsoft Project.
180750 - ..
180751 - Todd advised that Project 7 will convert a Microsoft Project schedule
180752 - to Project 7 format.
180754 - ..
180755 - Scitor provided courtesy CDs, called "First Look," for all attendees
180756 - this evening. It contains code for testing Project 7 program. Scitor
180757 - does not provide upgraded code via Internet to purchase the program.
180758 - ..
180759 - You have to uninstall the test code, then install a new program
180760 - received from Scitor after making a purchase.
180761 - ..
180762 - The program costs about $600.
180764 - ..
180765 - Todd advised Scitor provides unlimited support at no cost. This does
180766 - not include providing application support to make an actual schedule.
180768 - ..
180769 - Todd seemed to indicate this product is not in the same market as
180770 - Welcome's Open Plan.
180771 -
180772 -
180774 - ..
180775 - Jill Harrington Opens PMI Season; Theme: Vision to Results
180776 -
180777 - The program director, Deanna Doherty, introduced newly elected chapter
180778 - president Jill Harrington.
180779 -
180780 - [See article for Newsletter on Jill's remarks, ref SDS 55
180781 - line 136.]
180783 - ..
180784 - Don Berri, Ex-President PMI NCC, Eulogized
180785 -
180786 - Jill paid tribute to Don Berri who died recently. He was PMI
180787 - NCC president in 1979 and was a recipient of the Wally Kruz
180788 - award in 1982. There is an article in the September Newsletter
180789 - on Don's death.
180790 - ..
180791 - Dan was one of the original charter members of PMI NCC.
180793 - ..
180794 - Sherrill McDonald knew Don from his work at Kaiser Engineers.
180795 -
180796 - Sherrill told me before the start of the event this evening
180797 - that Dan actually took his own life, evidently despondent
180798 - over poor health.
180799 -
180800 - Sherrill said Don had not seemed like himself for the past
180801 - year.
180802 -
180804 - ..
180805 - Judy Painter Praised for Leadership during 1996, 1997
180806 -
180807 - Jill thanked Judy Painter on behalf of the entire membership for
180808 - outstanding leadership last year. Judy is not on the Past
180809 - President's Advisory Counsel; and she is Chair of the Planning
180810 - and Nominating Committee
180811 -
180812 -
180814 - ..
180815 - PMI NCC Goal to increase Membership
180816 -
180818 - ..
180819 - Executive Committee Introduced
180820 -
180821 - Rose Wilkins Deanna Doherty
180822 - Mike Bill DeHart
180823 - Bob Holm Ed Diemer (absent)
180824 - Jim Coughlin
180825 - Sandra Washington
180827 - ..
180828 - Sandra was introduced and announced that next month's dinner
180829 - meeting will be held at the Oakland Marriot.
180830 -
180831 -
180833 - ..
180834 - Strategic Plan Advances Chapter Goals, Membership Needs
180835 -
180836 - Jill announced that this past summer the Executive Committee began a
180837 - process to review the chapter's mission. A key objective is to ensure
180838 - the chapter is meeting the needs of the membership.
180839 -
180840 - This seems to me we are running scared, when we start asking the
180841 - membership what the objectives should be of PMI.
180843 - ..
180844 - We have an organization. It was established to promote project
180845 - management, and to that end people seek to join the organization.
180846 - Our mission should be to define project management and provide
180847 - support for those seeking to practice it.
180848 - ..
180849 - Jill said something about a "due diligence" process, as part of
180850 - the strategic plan.
180851 -
180853 - ..
180854 - Tactical Plan
180855 -
180856 - Jill announced a "repeatable process" concerning what members
180857 - want.
180858 -
180859 - Members want PMP training and test preparation
180861 - ..
180862 - Rose Wilkins is working on a training program. She needs a venue
180863 - for the "pilot." Jill asked for an organization to offer
180864 - facilities for PMI NCC to conduct training classes.
180865 -
180867 - ..
180868 - Volunteers Outstanding Response; Lot's to Do This Year
180869 -
180870 - Jill reported that last year membership support through volunteer
180871 - efforts made possible the success of vital chapter projects and
180872 - initiatives. This laid the groundwork for this year's ambitious
180873 - agenda. She said there is lots to do again this year.
180875 - ..
180876 - Jill asked members to contact chapter VPs listed in the News
180877 - Letter about volunteering for work in their area of interest.
180878 - Examples of volunteer help needed include:
180879 -
180880 - Asilomar 1998 needs help in planning, speaker identification,
180881 - logistics and more.
180882 -
180883 - <EY90 Membership Directory needs support.
180884 -
180885 - Newsletter needs volunteer writers for monthly meetings and
180886 - articles.
180887 -
180888 -
180890 - ..
180891 - News Group Launched on World Wide Web
180892 -
180893 - Bill DeHart, VP of Communications, announced the launch of the Chapter
180894 - News Group on the World Wide Web, beginning next week.
180895 -
180896 - [On 970915 Bill changed this to a Discussion Group and the launch
180897 - date is indefinite, ref SDS 55 9674]
180899 - ..
180900 - Roger Bush, Senior Consultant with Saxon-Hamilton, Management-
180901 - Consulting Group, will facilitate the Chapter's first News Group
180902 - discussion, and respond to questions based on his presentation this
180903 - evening:
180904 -
180905 - Winning People Over
180906 - ..
180907 - The outline for Roger's presentation this evening will be
180908 - available for downloading from the Web site.
180910 - ..
180911 - Access to the News Group is through the Chapter Web site at:
180912 -
180913 - WWW.PMINCC.ORG
180915 - ..
180916 - The News Group enables the membership to share its problems, solutions
180917 - and ideas on advancing the art and practice of project management,
180918 - while gaining insights and advice of industry experts, like Roger.
180920 - ..
180921 - Bill advised that PMI membership can make the News Group an electronic
180922 - "repository" of experience for effective knowledge growth, as called
180923 - for in the article by Harvey Levine published in the May 1997 issue of
180924 - PM Network p. 19, ref SDS 48 line 539.
180925 -
180926 -
180927 -
180928 -
180929 -
1810 -
SUBJECTS
Communications, Feedback
Communication 90% Manager's Time
New World Order Align Communications, Testing Metrics
Alice in Wonderland, No Time to Understand,
Executive No Time to Think No time to Say Hello, Good-by, I'm late,
6107 -
610801 - ..
610802 - Roger Bush conducts "Town Hall" Meeting, shows...
610803 - Winning People Over is a Two-way Process: "Communication"
610804 -
610805 - Roger Bush, with the wit and charm of Phil Donahue and the expertise
610806 - of Peter Drucker, roled up his sleeves this evening and engaged the
610807 - audience in a powerful give-and-take about the nitty gritty of winning
610808 - people over to get things done.
610810 - ..
610811 - [On 970915 prepared article for PMI Newsletter on this
610812 - presentation, ref SDS 55 0860]
610814 - ..
610815 - This presentation reflected in part the difference between
610816 - communication for sales, as taught in university programs
610817 - focused on getting people to say "yes," i.e., "winning people
610818 - over," and the communication needed to carry out the work
610819 - product that is sold, per discussion with Jane Hiller-Carpenter
610820 - at the Wharton School of Business on 950523, ref SDS 12 2130.
610822 - ..
610823 - Communication is the key factor in project success according to PMI
610824 - articles, ref SDS 48 8888, and professional events, ref SDS 29 5621.
610825 - So it was fitting to begin this year's PMI season with a "how to"
610826 - presentation that supplements last year's opening presentation on a
610827 - system of communication metrics by Dr. Ray Levitt of Stanford
610828 - University. Metrics and expertise through Roger's training make
610829 - communication effective.
610830 -
610832 - ..
610833 - Trust Grows from Accuracy, Showing Willingness to Listen
610834 - Accuracy Requires Feedback Metrics and Alignment
610835 -
610836 - Roger showed through his immeasurable talents that winning people over
610837 - takes meaningful communication about the other person's point of view.
610838 - "Communication is a two-way street that builds a relationship of
610839 - trust," said Roger Bush. Trust requires accuracy aligning a person's
610840 - goals and understandings with a wide spectrum of related sources. The
610841 - surest way to impair trust is to present information that conflicts
610842 - with what people say and intend for meeting project requirements,
610843 - organizational goals, policies, prior commitments, regulations and a
610844 - huge array of other constraints in the business environment.
610846 - ..
610847 - Roger asked questions, cajoiled and handed people the microphone to
610848 - enage the audience in this critical task of getting feedback to
610849 - discover understanding and build shared meaning in winning people over
610850 - for a successful project. Demonstrating how "feedback" produces
610851 - effective communication brought to life the practices and wisdom of
610852 - the PMBOK (e.g., section 2.4.2, ref SDS 15 1940), and ISO standards
610853 - for Project Management (e.g., section 5.2 principal 1, ref SDS 15
610854 - 1593).
610856 - ..
610857 - Roger emphasized communication for sales and marketing requires using
610858 - common sense. Learn what the other person cares about -- their "hot
610859 - buttons" -- and frame discussions on matters that interest the
610860 - customer, and therefore lead to inquiry and approval, rather than
610861 - confusion, caution, disdain, and rejection. Body language and
610862 - expressions, as well as direct comments are critical. Silence can be
610863 - the loudest response. Be observant and sensitive. Listen better than
610864 - you talk.
610865 -
610867 - ..
610868 - Executive Has No Time to Think
610869 - No time to Say Hello, Good-by, I'm late, I'm late...
610870 -
610871 - Roger described a key challenge today is information overload.
610872 - The busiesss environment of constant meetings, calls and email
610873 - encompasses executives in a "bubble." People focused on the
610874 - bottom line and the big picture operate in a world driven by 25
610875 - words or 30 second sound bites. There is no time to study
610876 - critical details that later explode into big problems, because
610877 - everyone is busy with problems overlooked last week, last month
610878 - and last year.
610879 -
610880 - On 921127 Morris recognized this problem at Chips and
610881 - Technologies, ref SDS 2 0674, which was original noticed by
610882 - Aristotle in 400 BC. ref OF 1 4564 When people are busy,
610883 - there is never enough time to listen and learn, i.e., to
610884 - think.
610886 - ..
610887 - Roger related a recent meeting with an executive of a major
610888 - financial institution who is hiring Saxon-Hamilton for
610889 - management support to bring closure on projects.
610891 - ..
610892 - The executive said they need analysis and planning of complex
610893 - issues, but they have so many meetings that nobody...
610894 -
610895 -
610896 - has time to think
610897 -
610899 - ..
610900 - Not enough time to think is the new reality of an information
610901 - explosion cited by Drucker on 931130. ref SDS 4 1855 Research
610902 - on 970829 shows that lack of analysis causes continual mistakes
610903 - due to limited span of attention. ref SDS 53 4476
610905 - ..
610906 - [On 050517 case study cognitive overhead shows culture
610907 - resists due diligence to collaborate, communicate,
610908 - investigate, study, analyse, and verify accuracy that
610909 - levearages experience for taking effective action, because
610910 - people do not have time to think. ref SDS 82 PY4U
610912 - ..
610913 - Henry Kissinger laments the information age makes management an
610914 - "Alicein in Wonderland" of continual bumbling. reviewed 940609,
610915 - ref SDS 7 4238 A growing pandemic is cited by Robert McNamera
610916 - on 950417, ref SDS 9 5872, by Johanna Neuman's book on 960311,
610917 - ref SDS 26 1696, by experience at Intel on 960103, ref SDS 21
610918 - 4950, illustrated by the call on 960223. ref SDS 25 1429 USACE
610919 - did not have enough time to think on 970405 to prepare memo on
610920 - bid discrepancies, ref SDS 47 3157 USACE reported on 970723
610921 - similar difficulty getting closure on issues ref SDS 51 2026,
610922 - and on 970211 nobody had "enough time to remember" critical
610923 - details, ref SDS 45 7777, another example on 970110 of everyone
610924 - relying on "guess and gossip." ref SDS 40 2487
610926 - ..
610927 - Mental blind spots caused by limited span of attention cause big
610928 - mistakes when there is not enough time to think, under Murphy's
610929 - Law, reviewed on 940609. ref SDS 6 0020
610931 - ..
610932 - An example from Broadwater Dam on 920210, ref SDS 1 0488, where
610933 - managers cannot keep their head above water. ref SDS 1 8400
610935 - ..
610936 - Reflects managers not having enough time to use good management
610937 - practices per IS0 requirements, ref SDS 18 3245, resulting in
610938 - wasting 70% of day in unproductive meetings, per AP report on
610939 - 960205. ref SDS 24 0000
610941 - ..
610942 - Bill DeHart cited this problem at PG&E's project with Sprint and
610943 - Bechtel. ref SDS 49 6603 Max Wideman says managers aver making
610944 - the "front end investment" of time for analysis and planning,
610945 - ref SDS 52 1897.
610946 -
610947 - [On 970916 stock manager confirms problem. ref SDS 56 7723.]
610949 - ..
610950 - [On 970917 Roger did not have enough time to think about
610951 - ideas. ref SDS 57 2294, and ref SDS 58 1365.]
610953 - ..
610954 - [On 970919 Caltrans does not have enough time to investigate
610955 - new methods. ref SDS 59 6432]
610957 - ..
610958 - [On 970923 submitted NWO... article to National Review for
610959 - publication based on Roger's disclosure. ref SDS 60 9764]
610961 - ..
610962 - [A key aspect of the problem is that the number of subjects
610963 - which require thinking exceeds the span of attention bound
610964 - by human biology, ref SDS 61 2020]
610966 - ..
610967 - [On 971008 report by USACE that Communication Metrics solves
610968 - the problem of limited span of attention. ref SDS 62 1273]
610970 - ..
610971 - [On 971017 HQUSACE no time to think. ref SDS 63 3428.]
610973 - ..
610974 - [On 971119 Dave Vannier reported he is spending all day in
610975 - meetings. ref SDS 65 3849]
610977 - ..
610978 - [On 971108 investigated ways to give managers time to think
610979 - using the Internet to deliver "intelligence" faster, better,
610980 - cheaper. ref SDS 64 8882
610982 - ..
610983 - [On 980307 Andy Grove's book is endorsed by Peter Drucker
610984 - saying it will make people think, but Drucker does not say
610985 - how people will find time to think. ref SDS 67 4629]
610987 - ..
610988 - [On 980307 Andy Grove's book says new realities of business
610989 - require managers to change work practices. ref SDS 67 3151]
610991 - ..
610992 - [On 980412 CBS 60 Minutes broadcast program explaining that
610993 - too much information reduces time people have to think. see
610994 - ref SDS 68 2025]
610996 - ..
610997 - [On 980416 Schawb reported increased operating expenses
610998 - caused reduced earnings, lower stock price. ref SDS 69 4269]
611000 - ..
611001 - [On 980510 report productivity slowed dramatically and unit
611002 - labor costs escalated. ref SDS 70]
611004 - ..
611005 - [On 980807 article says employees have too much information
611006 - not enough time for reflection, thinking. ref SDS 71 2426]
611008 - ..
611009 - [On 980815 article says U.S. "Intelligence" failures stem
611010 - from too much information, not enough understanding. Where
611011 - do people get time to "understand"? ref SDS 73 1173
611013 - ..
611014 - [On 980808 IBM solving limited span of attention by hard
611015 - work. ref SDS 72 3379]
611017 - ..
611018 - [On 980917 IBM does not have enough time to think about
611019 - "intelligence." ref SDS 74 5313]
611021 - ..
611022 - [On 990303 scientific paper on limited ability to process
611023 - information. ref SDS 75 6120]
611025 - ..
611026 - [On 990625 doctors do not have time to perform communication
611027 - tasks in medical handbook. ref SDS 76 0889]
611029 - ..
611030 - [On 990625 CEOs fail by executing sound management
611031 - pracitces. ref SDS 77 9671]
611033 - ..
611034 - [On 010109 executive at SRI overbooked for meetings.
611035 - ref SDS 78 LG5M
611037 - ..
611038 - [On 011003 IT engineer giving up, productivity paralyzed by
611039 - hopeless quagmire of complexity due to information overload.
611040 - ref SDS 79 EC5N
611042 - ..
611043 - [On 011023 DOD does not have enough time to investigate
611044 - intelligence for saving time and money. ref SDS 80 0001
611046 - ..
611047 - [On 041012 medical management exasperating because staff
611048 - fail to invest time for organizing the record, causing
611049 - mistakes, delay and cost escalation. ref SDS 81 NV49
611051 - ..
611052 - This reflects the article by the U.S. Air Force Institute of
611053 - Technology, published by PMI, and reviewed on 970707, that
611054 - entropy in the information base causes failure in communication
611055 - that leads to cost growth. ref SDS 50 0108 Earlier on 970522
611056 - Uncle Jim submitted an article published by the militry that
611057 - cites information overload causes people to spend 80% of their
611058 - time looking for information.
611060 - ..
611061 - Henry Kissinger cites an "Alice in Wonderland" environment where
611062 - there is not enough time for analysis that converts information
611063 - into useful knowledge for planning and decisions, ref SDS 7
611064 - 4238. Dr. Kissinger in his recent book, Diplomacy (p. 833-844),
611065 - complains that fast paced information technology causes
611066 - decisions based on emotion and the mood of the moment, rather
611067 - than priorities and capabilities. ref SDS 7 4886
611069 - ..
611070 - Roger Bush helped bring closure to this issue. Since technology
611071 - will continue to grow in the 21st Century, its impact poses a
611072 - challenge to the practice of project management. Roger was
611073 - asked if this new environment suggests the need for a new role
611074 - and work practices to ensure that time is devoted to "thinking"
611075 - which people are finding there is not enough time to perform?
611076 - Roger advised that careful adherence to the PMBOK is the path to
611077 - the future.
611079 - ..
611080 - Members can hear more of Roger's ideas, exchange views and
611081 - discuss real problems with Roger when the Chapter launches its
611082 - new Discussion Group on our web site in the near future. Our
611083 - Web address:
611084 -
611085 - http://www.pmincc.org.
611086 -
611087 -
611088 -
611089 -
611090 -
611091 -
611092 -
611093 -
611094 -
6111 -
6112 -
Distribution. . . . See "CONTACTS"