Welch Company
San Francisco, CA
S U M M A R Y
DIARY: September 1, 2011 09:43 AM Thursday;
Rod Welch
Evidence salt essential for good health care.
1...Summary/Objective
2...Research salt issue finds...
....Special Report: A pinch of doubt over salt
..............
Click here to comment!
CONTACTS
SUBJECTS
Salt Medical Necessity Avoid Overuse Reduce Heart Disease Hypertensi
1403 -
1403 - ..
1404 - Summary/Objective
1405 -
140501 - Follow up ref SDS 19 0000.
140502 -
140504 - ..
1406 -
1407 -
1408 - Progress
1409 -
140901 - Research salt issue finds...
140902 -
140903 - Follow up ref SDS 19 D58G.
140904 -
140905 - While driving to the airport last year, Ross asked about effects of
140906 - excessive salt, reported on 101130 0400. ref SDS 30 YP6M
140922 - ..
140923 - Today, Reuters published an article on this issue...
140924 -
140925 - Special Report: A pinch of doubt over salt
140926 -
140927 - http://news.yahoo.com/special-report-pinch-doubt-over-salt-130624186.html
140928 -
140929 - By Kate Kelland, Health and Science Correspondent
140931 - ..
140932 - 1. LONDON (Reuters) - In Britain it started with Sid, the "giant
140933 - slug with a message", who slicked his way onto television
140934 - screens back in 2004 as part of a government health campaign
140935 - to warn people about the dangers of consuming too much salt.
140936 - "Stay away from fast cars, loose women and SALT!" he screamed.
140938 - ..
140939 - 2. Sid's message -- that liberal sprinklings of sodium, the main
140940 - component of salt, don't only kill slugs but humans too -- has
140941 - now become conventional wisdom worldwide. High salt intake is
140942 - linked to high blood pressure, or hypertension, a key risk
140943 - factor for strokes, heart attacks and other cardiovascular
140944 - diseases. Together those rank as the world's number one
140945 - killers. The World Health Organization (WHO) puts cutting salt
140946 - intake alongside quitting smoking as one of the top 10 "best
140947 - buys" in public health.
140948 -
140949 - 3. "Blood pressure is the biggest cause of death in the world
140950 - ...and salt is the most important thing that puts it up,"
140951 - says Graham MacGregor, a professor of cardiovascular medicine
140952 - at the London-based Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine
140953 - and chairman of the influential World Action on Salt and
140954 - Health lobby group (WASH). "Cutting back on salt gives a
140955 - direct beneficial effect on the biggest cause of death in the
140956 - world. That's why it's so important."
140958 - ..
140959 - Reducing salt in diet to lower blood pressure begs the threshold
140960 - question of whether blood pressure is currently too high for good
140961 - health?
140963 - ..
140964 - Patient history in case study on 101010, shows blood pressure and
140965 - heart rate do not present health risk for coronary artery disease
140966 - (CAD), and in recent months show very strong coronary pulmonary
140967 - system, ref SDS 29 TI4J, based on published guidelines for good health
140968 - listed on 100305 1000. ref SDS 26 2R4O
140970 - ..
140971 - Weight is a patient controllable factor that affects both blood
140972 - pressure and cholesterol. Doctor Sandhu noted in a meeting at the VA
140973 - on 110803 that progress reducing weight toward 165 will help reduce
140974 - LDL cholesterol toward < 70 even though simvastatin has done all it
140975 - can to lower cholesterol, and it is still higher than ideal, based on
140976 - evolving standards, reported on 110803 1400. ref SDS 32 NQ38
140978 - ..
140979 - Special Report on salt continues...
140980 -
140981 - 4. Or is it? Recent scientific papers suggest the basis for a
140982 - global crackdown on salt is not what you'd call rock solid.
140983 - Two 2011 studies indicate that the evidence is inconclusive,
140984 - or that reducing salt may even be harmful.
140985 -
140986 - 5. "There's a view that salt is the root cause of all high blood
140987 - pressure worldwide and some people religiously hold on to
140988 - that belief," said Tony Heagerty, head of the cardiovascular
140989 - research group at Britain's Manchester University and a
140990 - formerpresident of the International Society of Hypertension.
140991 - "But the evidence for that is actually pretty flimsy."
140993 - ..
140994 - 6. It's a debate that has flared over the past few months, with
140995 - each side harnessing a legion of experts in hypertension, heart
140996 - disease, nutrition and scientific analysis. The salt industry
140997 - has, naturally, jumped on studies that question the
140998 - conventional wisdom, and at least one food manufacturer has
140999 - started to add salt back to some of its processed foods. At
141000 - times the row has become personal. Trapped in the middle are
141001 - consumers, who may worry they have become unsuspecting guinea
141002 - pigs in a grand global experiment.
141003 -
141004 - 7. "The two sides are totally polarized and there's no agreement or consensus on
141005 - what the answer is," says Peter Sherratt of the UK Salt Association. Any new
141006 - scientific paper which supports the anti-salt position is lauded as proof
141007 - saltconsumption is dangerous, but any piece of evidence or science showing
141008 - salt is beneficial, or reducing it dangerous, is criticized as
141009 - unrepresentative, he said.
141011 - ..
141012 - 8. The debate has big implications for business. Salt for food use accounts for
141013 - only a fraction of the 250 million tonnes of annual global production.
141014 - Lookingat the United States alone, 1.5 million tonnes of so-called human
141015 - nutrition salt was sold in 2009 with a value of more than $321 million.
141017 - ..
141018 - 9. But the U.S. snack foods industry -- a key consumer of salt which includes
141019 - major companies like Pepsico's Frito-Lay and Kraft's Nabisco -- has a
141020 - combinedannual revenue of $27 billion, according to analysis by company
141021 - profile builder Hoover's. Then there's the business of selling drugs to treat
141022 - high blood pressure. Worldwide sales of anti-hypertensives were around $35
141023 - billion in 2009, according to research by Deutsche Bank.
141025 - ..
141026 - 10. Heagarty disclosed that 15 years ago, his department accepted 2,000 pounds
141027 - ($3,200 at today's rates) from the U.S.- based industry lobby, the Salt
141028 - Institute, but said he has no current financial conflict of interest.
141030 - ..
141031 - 11. WORTH THE SALT?
141032 -
141033 - Salt has been taxed, monopolized, treasured and fought over for thousands of
141034 - years. Today's scientists are waging a modern-day salt war.
141036 - ..
141037 - 12. In the 1970s, American researchers experimenting on rats found very high
141038 - dosesof salt raised blood pressure. Some of the most-cited evidence on salt
141039 - and health came in a 1988 international study called InterSalt, which
141040 - surveyedmore than 10,000 men and women in scores of populations across the
141041 - world. The study included four remote tribes in Brazil, Kenya and New Guinea
141042 - whose people had the lowest salt intake and were also found to have the
141043 - lowestblood pressure and very few, if any, cases of hypertension. Although
141044 - these findings were disputed by parties including the Salt Institute, it
141045 - wasn't long before a scientific consensus emerged that too much salt is bad
141046 - for you.
141048 - ..
141049 - 13. A 2005 study in the PubMed journal found almost 1 billion people around the
141050 - world have high blood pressure, which makes the heart work too hard, hardens
141051 - the walls of the arteries and can cause other problems such as heart failure,
141052 - kidney disease, and blindness. Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause
141053 - of death globally, claiming 17.1 million lives a year. A substantial number
141054 - ofthese deaths are put down to smoking, which raises the risk of
141055 - hypertension,strokes and heart attacks.
141057 - ..
141058 - 14. In the past few years, governments have begun to act. Under its
141059 - health-promoting mayor Michael Bloomberg, New York City pledged in 2010 to
141060 - coordinate a U.S.-wide effort to cut salt in restaurant and packaged foods by
141061 - 25 percent. National sodium reduction strategies have been adopted across
141062 - Europe and in Australia, China and India.
141064 - ..
141065 - 15. Scores of health authorities around the world advise that we should aim to
141066 - reduce our salt intake from the roughly 9 to 12 grams a day we eat now down
141067 - toaround 6 grams - about a teaspoonful a day. Since around 75 percent of all
141068 - the salt we consume comes from packaged and processed food, rather than from
141069 - what we sprinkle on top of it, food manufacturers have been in the firing
141070 - line.
141072 - ..
141073 - 16. Under pressure from health authorities and the WHO, the food industry --
141074 - whichstands accused of using salt to boost the flavor, shelf-life and profit
141075 - of what would otherwise be bland ingredients -- has taken action. Big brands
141076 - like Heinz, Kellogg's, Nestle, Pepsico, General Mills and others have been
141077 - steadily reducing sodium levels in their foods.
141079 - ..
141080 - 17. According to Susan Jebb, a nutrition adviser to the UK government, Britain is
141081 - leading the way, forcing foodmakers to make some "impressive" reductions
141082 - including a 30 percent reduction in salt in bread, about a 50 percent cut in
141083 - branded breakfast cereals and around 25 percent in pasta sauces.
141085 - ..
141086 - 18. Among the health-conscious at least, a salt-shaker on the dining table is
141087 - becoming almost as frowned on as an ashtray.
141089 - ..
141090 - 19. NOT CRYSTAL CLEAR
141091 -
141092 - But the findings that policy-makers have accepted as settled are not as
141093 - clear-cut among scientists. A study in July by the much-respected Cochrane
141094 - Library, which conducts meta-analyses of scientific data by grouping together
141095 - the best studies on a subject and pooling the results, found no evidence that
141096 - reducing salt intake cuts the risk of developing heart disease or dying
141097 - beforeyour time.
141099 - ..
141100 - 20. In that study Rod Taylor, a professor of health services research at Exeter
141101 - University, analyzed seven randomized controlled trials covering more than
141102 - 6,500 people and found that although cutting down did appear to lead to slight
141103 - reductions in blood pressure, this did not translate into lower risk of heart
141104 - disease or premature death.
141106 - ..
141107 - 21. In one group of people -- those with pre-existing heart conditions --
141108 - reducingsalt was actually associated with an increase in the likelihood of
141109 - premature death.
141111 - ..
141112 - 22. Taylor said he did not receive payment from, or have links to, the salt
141113 - industry. His study was funded by a grant from the UK government's National
141114 - Institute for Health Research.
141116 - ..
141117 - 23. Taylor's study came hot on the heels of another, by Belgian scientists, which
141118 - was published in the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA). That
141119 - found people who ate lots of salt were no more likely to get high blood
141120 - pressure, and were statistically less likely to die of heart disease, than
141121 - those with low salt intake.
141123 - ..
141124 - 24. The researchers used data from two different studies, involving a total of
141125 - around 3,700 Europeans whose salt consumption was measured through urine
141126 - samples. The scientists divided the participants into three groups with low,
141127 - medium and high intake: those with the lowest salt intake had the highest
141128 - rateof death from heart disease - at 4 percent. People who ate the most salt
141129 - had the lowest death rate from heart disease, at less than 1 percent.
141130 -
141131 - 25. "One should be very careful in advocating generalized reduction in sodium
141132 - intake in the population at large. There might be some benefits, but there
141133 - might also be some adverse effects," says Jan Staessen, head of hypertension
141134 - studies at the University of Leuven and the lead investigator on the Belgian
141135 - study. "You have to ask, should public health policies be based on something
141136 - which is still being debated? I don't think so."
141138 - ..
141139 - 26. Staessen told Reuters he had no financial conflicts of interest. His work was
141140 - funded largely by grants from the European Union and European national
141141 - governments.
141143 - ..
141144 - 27. WHO SAYS A TEASPOONFUL WILL DO?
141145 -
141146 - Such studies are re-drawing the battle lines around salt. Foodmakers are
141147 - starting to fight back against the low-salters. Campbell's is now putting
141148 - more salt back into all 31 of its Select Harvest soups after consumers voted
141149 - with their taste buds and stopped buying the reduced-salt version.
141150 -
141151 - 28. "One size doesn't fit all," says Juli Mandel Sloves, Campbell's senior
141152 - managerfor nutrition and wellness communications. "And what this research
141153 - debate shows is exactly that. You can't make a recommendation based on the
141154 - needs of only one part of the population. It's really important that we offer
141155 - a variety of choices."
141157 - ..
141158 - 29. Other major food industry groups and manufacturers approached by Reuters,
141159 - including Kellogg's and Pepsico, as well as the U.S. Grocery Manufacturers'
141160 - Association, either declined to be interviewed or sent statements reiterating
141161 - their commitment to reducing sodium levels in their foods, in line with
141162 - government dietary recommendations.
141164 - ..
141165 - 30. But the powerful U.S. National Restaurant Association is questioning the
141166 - accepted wisdom. "The science is very clear in showing that reducing sodium
141167 - reduces blood pressure. There's no question about that. The controversy is
141168 - around reducing cardiovascular disease and ... basically the risk of death.
141169 - That's where the evidence is completely weak," says Joy Dubost, the NRA's
141170 - Director of Nutrition and Healthy Living. In other words, cutting back on
141171 - saltdoes reduce blood pressure, but it may not reduce the risk of dying early.
141173 - ..
141174 - 31. Michael Alderman, a blood pressure expert at Albert Einstein College of
141175 - Medicine in the United States and editor of the American Journal of
141176 - Hypertension, believes there's a sense that some scientists -- and most
141177 - policymakers -- may have moved too early to target salt as the cause of the
141178 - problem. "If we're doing something so dramatic to the diets of whole
141179 - populations, there should be no argument. The evidence should be
141180 - overwhelming,but it's not overwhelming at all," he said.
141182 - ..
141183 - 32. Of around a dozen scientists interviewed by Reuters for this story, about
141184 - halfshared this point of view; but since they included salt-reduction
141185 - campaigners and salt industry representatives, that is not necessarily an
141186 - indicator of the balance of opinions across the scientific community.
141188 - ..
141189 - 33. Alderman argues that in addition to changing blood pressure, cutting sodium
141190 - can cause other physiological changes such as increased resistance to insulin
141191 - -- which can set the stage for diabetes and increase the risk of death from
141192 - heart disease. Too little sodium can also increase sympathetic nerve activity
141193 - which raises the risk of heart attacks, and boost the secretion of
141194 - aldosterone, a hormone produced by the adrenal gland that is bad for the
141195 - cardiovascular system.
141196 -
141197 - 34. "What we have -- like almost all interventions in health and medicine -- is
141198 - something that produces a multitude of different effects," said Alderman, who
141199 - disclosed having taken one $750 payment more than a decade ago from the Salt
141200 - Institute, but who said he has since had no financial help from the industry.
141201 - Besides Alderman and Heagerty, none of the other academic scientists
141202 - interviewed for this article have disclosed financial interests.
141204 - ..
141205 - 35. In a letter to the British government seen by Reuters, the UK's Salt
141206 - Association -- which along with the Salt Institute has a vested interest in
141207 - defending the salt industry -- cites the Cochrane and JAMA papers and demands
141208 - an urgent review of the salt reduction strategy. It goes as far as to say:
141209 - "People may actually be dying as a result of poorly founded advice."
141211 - ..
141212 - 36. IS SALT THE NEW TOBACCO?
141213 -
141214 - That kind of talk exasperates the Wolfson Institute's
141215 - MacGregor, one of the most vocal advocates of salt reduction
141216 - anywhere. Along with Franco Cappuccio, head of the WHO's
141217 - collaborating center for nutrition at Warwick University
141218 - andSimon Capewell, a professor of clinical epidemiology at
141219 - Liverpool University, McGregor argues that salt -- most of it
141220 - hidden in processed and packaged foods -- is a huge problem.
141222 - ..
141223 - 37. It's perhaps an indication of his conviction that MacGregor
141224 - equates the argument about salt to past rows over tobacco, even
141225 - though unlike tobacco, salt is a fundamental nutritional
141226 - requirement for humans to survive.
141228 - ..
141229 - 38. "We're in exactly the same position as we were with tobacco 20
141230 - or 30 years ago when people were still arguing about whether
141231 - tobacco caused lung cancer or heart disease," MacGregor says.
141232 - "It obviously did, there was no doubt about it-- and the only
141233 - people arguing were people who had commercial interest."
141235 - ..
141236 - 39. WASH and its UK counterpart CASH (Consensus Action on Salt and
141237 - Health), which is also chaired by MacGregor, are funded by
141238 - donations from individuals and charities.
141240 - ..
141241 - 40. Cappuccio and Capewell point to scores of scientific analyses
141242 - to make their point. A 2007 study predicted that reducing salt
141243 - intake around the world by 15 percent could prevent almost 9
141244 - million deaths by 2015. Another study published in March 2010
141245 - found that cutting salt intake by 10 percent in the United
141246 - States could prevent hundreds of thousands of heart attacks and
141247 - strokesover decades and save the government $32 billion in
141248 - health care costs.
141250 - ..
141251 - 41. In a recent British Medical Journal commentary, Capewell and
141252 - Cappuccio cautioned: "Denial and procrastination will be costly
141253 - in terms of both avoidable illness and expenses."
141255 - ..
141256 - 42. When confronted with the two most recent scientific studies
141257 - suggesting the contrary, MacGregor dismissed them as flawed or
141258 - paradoxical. "There is absolutely no evidence of any harm from
141259 - reducing salt intake. Absolutely none," he said.
141261 - ..
141262 - 43. In the case of the Cochrane review, MacGregor set about
141263 - re-crunching the numbers and swiftly published a fresh analysis
141264 - of the data in a rival medical journal, The Lancet, which drew
141265 - the opposite conclusion.
141267 - ..
141268 - 44. Taylor responded by saying MacGregor had taken two of the sets
141269 - of data in the study -- one from people with normal blood
141270 - pressure and one from people with hypertension - and grouped
141271 - them together. This, he said, is like comparing apples and
141272 - oranges, and breaks a central tenet of statistical analysis.
141274 - ..
141275 - 45. Manchester University's Tony Heagerty has a wry observation of
141276 - this to-and-fro: "If you torture data long enough it will give
141277 - you the answer you want."
141279 - ..
141280 - 46. ONE BIG EXPERIMENT
141281 -
141282 - Much of the argument barely touches on the data -- descending
141283 - instead into personal attacks and accusations of conflicts of
141284 - interest. Scientists on both sides talk of being taunted by
141285 - their rivals. Both Cappuccio, who advocates less salt, and
141286 - Staessen, the hypertension expert who has found risks in salt
141287 - reduction, say they have been victimized or intimidated after
141288 - publishing papers in scientific journals.
141290 - ..
141291 - 47. Salt-reduction advocate MacGregor points at one of his main
141292 - opponents across the Atlantic, Morton Satin, director of
141293 - science and research at the U.S.-based Salt Institute, who says
141294 - reducing salt across whole populations may do more harm than
141295 - good. "Imagine he's wrong," MacGregor said. "That would mean
141296 - he's responsible for millions of strokes worldwide. When he
141297 - goes to sleep tonight, he might like to think about that."
141299 - ..
141300 - 48. Satin hits back that the whole situation has left science
141301 - behind. "Passions overtake an objective view of science... and
141302 - we can have an entire society being led to believe something
141303 - that doesn't stack up."
141305 - ..
141306 - 49. There is one thing the two sides appear to agree on: the matter
141307 - could be settled by a large-scale -- 20,000 to 30,000 people --
141308 - randomized clinical trial with half allocated to a high and
141309 - half to a low salt diet. To be done properly, the main
141310 - protagonists agree, such a trial would need to run for several
141311 - years. The huge numbers are needed so that all other possible
141312 - factors -- weight, age, fitness, quality of diet, and medical
141313 - conditions -- are roughly equal in both groups.
141315 - ..
141316 - 50. But salt-reduction advocates MacGregor and Cappuccio say such a
141317 - trial would be prohibitively expensive, unnecessary, and may
141318 - even be unethical. Again they draw comparisons with smoking.
141319 - Since, in their view, the harms of salt are indisputable,
141320 - asking people to be kept on a high salt diet for the purposes
141321 - of a medical experiment would be equivalent to forcing people
141322 - to smoke.
141324 - ..
141325 - 51. Alderman is enraged by such suggestions. "Any medical ethicist
141326 - would say that before you impose changes you have to make sure
141327 - they are safe and beneficial. If the science is uncertain,
141328 - then how can it be unethical to do the right studies to answer
141329 - the scientific questions? If you're asking 300 million
141330 - Americans and I don't know how many millions of other people
141331 - around the world to change their diet so dramatically, you
141332 - ought to have overwhelming evidence that it's a good idea and
141333 - it's safe."
141335 - ..
141336 - 52. Until the row is settled, people's salt intake will probably be
141337 - guided by personal taste.
141338 -
141339 - 53. (Edited by Simon Robinson, Michael Williams and Sara Ledwith)
141340 -
141341 -
141342 -
141343 -
141344 -
141345 -
141346 -
141347 -
1414 -